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Best Bets On The New William Hill App For Opening Night

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

For those of you not paying attention, the new William Hill mobile sports app has been released and it is essentially the Willie Wonka of sports betting. You name it, you can bet on it using the updated app, and of course, that includes the Stanley Cup Champion Vegas Golden Knights.

For the first game alone, there are over 100 different ways to bet the game. They range from something as simple as who will win to the much more in depth options such as the exact score of the 2nd period.

Let’s try and make you some money and highlight some of my best bets for the season opening game against the Seattle Kraken.

60 minute moneyline
Best Bet: VGK -121

This is a simple one, just take the Golden Knights to win the game in regulation. They are 7-1-0 all time against the Kraken and the atmosphere at T-Mobile Arena will be electric. Yeah, we are giving up on overtime (which would have VGK at -170), but it’s worth it.

VGK total goals
Best Bet: Over 3.5 -129

If the playoffs taught us anything, when the stakes are high, the Golden Knights score goals. I expect Vegas to score early and often getting to at least four well before the Kraken’s net is empty.

Will there be OT?
Best Bet: No -479

If you want a real safe one, this is the way to go. No VGK vs SEA game has ever gone to overtime and only one of the eight has even been a one-goal game.

Goal in first 10 minutes
Best Bet: Yes -190

Think back to the playoffs, there was a goal in the first 10 minutes of just about every game, it should happen again in this one.

Goals in each period
Best Bet: No +172

Eventually, the game should settle in and the way VGK defend, I’d expect either the 2nd or 3rd period to be scoreless.

Winning Margin
Best Bet: VGK by 3 goals +525

Five of the eight games between these two teams have seen the Golden Knights win by exactly three goals. At more than 5:1, why not try for a sixth.

Race to 4 goals
Best Bet: VGK +130

If someone’s getting to four, it’ll be the Golden Knights. For plus money, it’s worth a look.

VGK will win or draw all periods
Best Bet: Yes +152

Earlier I said there’s going to be a period without a goal, which knocks off one of the three. I also like VGK to score early, so that should get them through the 1st. +152 to try and win the other one, I like the chances.

Good luck!

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VGK’s William Hill Odds To Win Cup, Conference, Division, Make Playoffs, And More

William Hill, the official sportsbook of SinBin.vegas since the inception of the site, has just released massive upgrades to their app. What that means for Golden Knights fans is tons of new bets, both now, and once we get to the season with in-play and same-game parlay wagering.

Right now, the new app offers six different ways to bet on the Golden Knights from Stanley Cup future odds to moneylines on the very first game of the season.

We’ll start with the big one… will Vegas go back-to-back?

VGK come in as the 4th favorite behind a pair of Eastern Conference teams and an opponent they beat in the 2023 playoffs. Feels like the reigning champs who are returning a majority of the roster should be the favorites, but hey, maybe it’s a chance to strike while the iron is hot.

On to the next one, the season opener at T-Mobile Arena.

The Golden Knights are 7-1-0 all-time against the Kraken.

The first step for Vegas to get another parade down the Strip is to make the playoffs, and according to William Hill, that’s very likely.

Golden Knights Betting Trends So Far This Season

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If you bet on every Golden Knights game this season, 29 times out of the 49 games you would have cashed in as a winner. Unfortunately, the 20 losses have actually outweighed the 29 wins.

In the 29 wins the Golden Knights have been favored in 23. They were -110, or a pick ’em, in three, and were underdogs in three others. Betting on just those wins would have netted you $1,954.53, or an average win of $67.40 per game.

In the 20 losses, Vegas were favored in 14 while being underdogs in five and -110 in the opener against the Kings. Losing all 20 would mean losing exactly $100 each game, or $2,000 total. That means, after 49 games, betting $100 on every game would have you down $45.47.

However, there have been plenty of situations that have been profitable for the Golden Knights this season.

The first is road games, and more specifically, road games in which they are favored. VGK have boasted a strong 15-7 betting record on the road which would have netted an average of $22.15 profit per game on $100 bets. When favored, the Golden Knights have won 11 of the 14 for a profit of $376.35.

The next is against Eastern Conference teams. VGK are 14-7 against the East including a road record of 8-2. That’d be a $316.12 profit on all 21 and $386.70 on the road games.

High-scoring games have also suited the Golden Knights well. They are 15-5 in games with at least seven goals. $100 per game would have netted $653.81 in those 20 games.

Pick ’em games have been great too. The Golden Knights have played in three toss-up games with both sides at -110. They’ve won all three against the Penguins, Kings, and Maple Leafs.

The final scenario is the weakest, but a definite positive in how the team bounces back from setbacks. The Golden Knights are 12-7 following a loss as they will be tomorrow night in New York. That number has come down recently though as VGK started the season 8-2 following a loss and had not lost three straight until this last homestand. They gained $292.91 in those first 10, but have lost $238.05 in the final nine.

The toughest spot this season has been games against the Pacific Division. They have an overall record of 5-10 against the division including a miserable 1-5 at home. They’ve dropped $466.67 in the six home games while losing $571.56 overall.

Unsurprising to season ticket holders, the Golden Knights have struggled at home this year. They are 14-12 and have lost $532.73 in those 26 games.

Another oddity is games that finish exactly 3-2. Vegas have competed in 10 games with that final score, they’ve lost seven of the 10 and have hemorrhaged $46.60 per night in those games.

All in all, the Golden Knights still win more than they lose, so there are ways to make money betting on them. Aim for road games in which they are favored, -110’s, and games against the East, and definitely avoid Pacific Division home games.

**All odds are from William Hill Sportsbook, official partner of SinBin.vegas.**

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2022-23 Player Props And Two Computer Model Season Point Projections

It’s prediction season again, and while the SinBin crew will be holding ours until the next podcast, we’re starting to see some trickle in from a few of our favorite sources.

We’ll start with our absolute favorite source for prognostication, William Hill!

There’s been a bit of a shift in the overall numbers since we first highlighted them a month ago. VGK are still picked to make the playoffs and finish 3rd in the division but their point total has dipped a full point to 95.5 and the “Make the Playoffs” prop is all the way down to -220 (it was almost -300 at open).

The props on the Golden Knights to win the division have dropped too, to +380, while Vegas stands as 20:1 underdogs to win the Cup.

There are a bunch of new individual player props on the board too. Here are a few.

Jack Eichel Goals Scored
Over/Under 36.5

Jonathan Marchessault Goals Scored
Over/Under 25.5

Mark Stone Goals Scored
Over/Under 20.5

Phil Kessel Goals Scored
Over/Under 18.5

Logan Thompson Wins
Over/Under 27.5

Finally, William Hill has listed a special monthly prop on October points for the Golden Knights. Vegas play 10 games with five at home and five on the road. The only repeat opponent is Winnipeg. William Hill has the line set at 10.5 with the under as the slight favorite.

Like it or not, the oddsmakers are not expecting the Golden Knights to come flying out of the gate.

Also, a pair of excellent computerized projection models have released their first look at this season’s predicted standings.

We’ll start with the more optimistic of the two.

Early Betting Odds Show VGK Making Playoffs, Finishing 3rd In Pacific

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

The Pacific Division has not exactly been a hotbed for NHL dominance the last few years. This year though, there’s been enough player movement in and out of the division that there’s a bit of a question as to how strong it will actually be.

Last year’s division champs, the Calgary Flames, lost two-thirds of their top line but were able to replace it with a couple of stellar players due to a blockbuster trade with the Florida Panthers. Edmonton, who advanced the furthest of any Pacific team, is basically bringing the band back together, and Los Angeles, Vancouver, Anaheim, and Seattle all added in the offseason.

The Golden Knights, despite an offseason of cap managing, should still be right in the mix to compete for the division title. They’ll continue to have the strongest D-corps in the division, an above-average top-six, and an excellent head coach.

With camp still a few weeks away and the regular season more than a month out, it can be tricky to find good prediction models for how the season may go. Luckily, here in Vegas, we call home to the best model in the world, betting odds.

Whether you gamble on sports or not, odds give a strong indication as to not just what sportsbooks believe is going to happen, but also what the public sees as the most likely outcome in a game or season. As bets come in on each team, sportsbooks adjust their lines to limit their likelihood of taking big wins or losses. So, what ends up happening is the odds become essentially a giant poll of public opinion with votes being cast by dollars.

William Hill posted season point totals and make or miss the playoffs lines on every team in the league a few weeks ago. As early bets came in, some of the numbers shifted giving us a better perspective on how the public views the league.

Point TotalMake PlayoffsEarned on $10 Bet
Edmonton104.5-750$1.33
Calgary101.5-360$2.78
Vegas96.5-240$4.17
Los Angeles94.5-185$5.41
Vancouver93-130$7.69
Anaheim79+320$32
Seattle77.5+500$50
San Jose72.5+450$45

Betting On The Golden Knights

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

Even before the Golden Knights had ever played a game, the longest running sponsor of SinBin.vegas, William Hill, was with us. As part of our amazing partnership with the best sports book in the world, we keep a log on the odds of every Golden Knights game and track the amount of money a $100 bettor would win or lose betting on every game.

You can find these numbers updated the morning after each game on our dedicated “Odds” page that lives here. Because I’m aware that many people don’t visit this page often, today we’re going to point out some highlights from the first five years of VGK hockey from a betting perspective.

First, and most importantly, if you had bet exactly $10 on every Golden Knights game, you would have made $38.13 over the course of the 439 combined regular season and playoff games.

However, that’s not typically how sports gamblers operate because they really hate dealing with loose change. So, instead, a typical gambler will bet using “units.” If one unit is $100, that means if the Golden Knights are underdogs, the bettor wagers $100, but if they are favorites, the bettor wagers enough to win $100. For example, if VGK are -170, the bettor wagers $170 to win $100. If VGK are -340, the bet is $340 to win $100.

Using those parameters, betting on every game would have you in the hole $865 over the past five seasons.

In the Golden Knights’ 254 franchise wins, the bettor would have racked up $26,825. But, the 185 losses, most of which the Golden Knights were favored, the same bettor would have dropped $27,690.

Here are a bunch of cool notes from the history of betting on the Golden Knights using William Hill odds.

Golden Knights Home Underdogs For Just The 10th Time Ever; Stats And Notes

Tonight, we have a rare occurance at T-Mobile Arena. It’s just the 9th time it will have ever happened, the first time since May 10th, and just the third time since the inaugural season.

The Golden Knights are underdogs at home at the William Hill Sports Book. Taking on the NHL leader in points percentage, the Carolina Hurricanes, the Golden Knights will be without Jack Eichel, Max Pacioretty, Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson, William Carrier, Nolan Patrick, Alec Martinez, and Zach Whitecloud (and maybe Mattias Janmark).

The last time Vegas were a home dog was the infamous 15 skater game which decided the 2020-21 Presidents’ Trophy. On that night, the Golden Knights were without five staters, but due to the salary cap were unable to replace players. This time around, VGK have replacements, but they are names like Jonas Rondbjerg, Paul Cotter, Michael Amadio, and Jake Leschyshyn.

Vegas played Colorado tough on May 10th, 2021, but eventually conceded late to take their very first loss in franchise history as a home underdog.

Prior to that game, the Golden Knights had been home underdogs eight times and were undefeated in them.

The most recent win as a home dog was on February 20th, 2020 when the Golden Knights were +100 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Vegas won that one 5-3 in a thriller. Alec Martinez scored a goal and added an assist in his VGK debut, Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty both scored, and the Golden Knights put a halt to Tampa Bay’s 11-game win streak.

Before that one, the Golden Knights had gone 793 days between games as home underdogs. They were favored in 109 consecutive home games.

However, both the Tampa Bay game and the Colorado game, Vegas came in as the slightest of favorites, just +100. Tonight, they are +130 against Carolina.

This is the first time since October 24th, 2017 that the Golden Knights have been greater than +120 underdogs at T-Mobile Arena. That is 1,488 days ago and 149 games ago!

VGK were installed as underdogs in five of their first seven home games and then added a two more as the season progressed.

If you’ve have bet $100 on the Golden Knights every time they were underdogs, you’d be up a solid $865. But, had you rolled the bets over, going all in every time, you’d have made $27,117. If you then bet that the next time they were underdogs (against TBL on 2/20/20), you’d be up to $54,434.

Then, of course, you’d have lost it all when they lost to Colorado.

Nonetheless, tonight is quite the rarity with the Golden Knights not just underdogs, but fairly significant underdogs, the third largest they’ve ever been at T-Mobile Arena.

**William Hill is the official betting sponsor of SinBin.vegas.**

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