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It’s prediction season again, and while the SinBin crew will be holding ours until the next podcast, we’re starting to see some trickle in from a few of our favorite sources.

We’ll start with our absolute favorite source for prognostication, William Hill!

There’s been a bit of a shift in the overall numbers since we first highlighted them a month ago. VGK are still picked to make the playoffs and finish 3rd in the division but their point total has dipped a full point to 95.5 and the “Make the Playoffs” prop is all the way down to -220 (it was almost -300 at open).

The props on the Golden Knights to win the division have dropped too, to +380, while Vegas stands as 20:1 underdogs to win the Cup.

There are a bunch of new individual player props on the board too. Here are a few.

Jack Eichel Goals Scored
Over/Under 36.5

Jonathan Marchessault Goals Scored
Over/Under 25.5

Mark Stone Goals Scored
Over/Under 20.5

Phil Kessel Goals Scored
Over/Under 18.5

Logan Thompson Wins
Over/Under 27.5

Finally, William Hill has listed a special monthly prop on October points for the Golden Knights. Vegas play 10 games with five at home and five on the road. The only repeat opponent is Winnipeg. William Hill has the line set at 10.5 with the under as the slight favorite.

Like it or not, the oddsmakers are not expecting the Golden Knights to come flying out of the gate.

Also, a pair of excellent computerized projection models have released their first look at this season’s predicted standings.

We’ll start with the more optimistic of the two.

Early Betting Odds Show VGK Making Playoffs, Finishing 3rd In Pacific

By Ken Boehlke

On September 2, 2022

In Fans

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

The Pacific Division has not exactly been a hotbed for NHL dominance the last few years. This year though, there’s been enough player movement in and out of the division that there’s a bit of a question as to how strong it will actually be.

Last year’s division champs, the Calgary Flames, lost two-thirds of their top line but were able to replace it with a couple of stellar players due to a blockbuster trade with the Florida Panthers. Edmonton, who advanced the furthest of any Pacific team, is basically bringing the band back together, and Los Angeles, Vancouver, Anaheim, and Seattle all added in the offseason.

The Golden Knights, despite an offseason of cap managing, should still be right in the mix to compete for the division title. They’ll continue to have the strongest D-corps in the division, an above-average top-six, and an excellent head coach.

With camp still a few weeks away and the regular season more than a month out, it can be tricky to find good prediction models for how the season may go. Luckily, here in Vegas, we call home to the best model in the world, betting odds.

Whether you gamble on sports or not, odds give a strong indication as to not just what sportsbooks believe is going to happen, but also what the public sees as the most likely outcome in a game or season. As bets come in on each team, sportsbooks adjust their lines to limit their likelihood of taking big wins or losses. So, what ends up happening is the odds become essentially a giant poll of public opinion with votes being cast by dollars.

William Hill posted season point totals and make or miss the playoffs lines on every team in the league a few weeks ago. As early bets came in, some of the numbers shifted giving us a better perspective on how the public views the league.

	Point Total	Make Playoffs	Earned on $10 Bet
Edmonton	104.5	-750	$1.33
Calgary	101.5	-360	$2.78
Vegas	96.5	-240	$4.17
Los Angeles	94.5	-185	$5.41
Vancouver	93	-130	$7.69
Anaheim	79	+320	$32
Seattle	77.5	+500	$50
San Jose	72.5	+450	$45

Betting On The Golden Knights

By Ken Boehlke

On July 28, 2022

In Fans

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

Even before the Golden Knights had ever played a game, the longest running sponsor of SinBin.vegas, William Hill, was with us. As part of our amazing partnership with the best sports book in the world, we keep a log on the odds of every Golden Knights game and track the amount of money a $100 bettor would win or lose betting on every game.

You can find these numbers updated the morning after each game on our dedicated “Odds” page that lives here. Because I’m aware that many people don’t visit this page often, today we’re going to point out some highlights from the first five years of VGK hockey from a betting perspective.

First, and most importantly, if you had bet exactly $10 on every Golden Knights game, you would have made $38.13 over the course of the 439 combined regular season and playoff games.

However, that’s not typically how sports gamblers operate because they really hate dealing with loose change. So, instead, a typical gambler will bet using “units.” If one unit is $100, that means if the Golden Knights are underdogs, the bettor wagers $100, but if they are favorites, the bettor wagers enough to win $100. For example, if VGK are -170, the bettor wagers $170 to win $100. If VGK are -340, the bet is $340 to win $100.

Using those parameters, betting on every game would have you in the hole $865 over the past five seasons.

In the Golden Knights’ 254 franchise wins, the bettor would have racked up $26,825. But, the 185 losses, most of which the Golden Knights were favored, the same bettor would have dropped $27,690.

Here are a bunch of cool notes from the history of betting on the Golden Knights using William Hill odds.

Golden Knights Home Underdogs For Just The 10th Time Ever; Stats And Notes

By Ken Boehlke

On November 16, 2021

In Fans

Tonight, we have a rare occurance at T-Mobile Arena. It’s just the 9th time it will have ever happened, the first time since May 10th, and just the third time since the inaugural season.

The Golden Knights are underdogs at home at the William Hill Sports Book. Taking on the NHL leader in points percentage, the Carolina Hurricanes, the Golden Knights will be without Jack Eichel, Max Pacioretty, Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson, William Carrier, Nolan Patrick, Alec Martinez, and Zach Whitecloud (and maybe Mattias Janmark).

The last time Vegas were a home dog was the infamous 15 skater game which decided the 2020-21 Presidents’ Trophy. On that night, the Golden Knights were without five staters, but due to the salary cap were unable to replace players. This time around, VGK have replacements, but they are names like Jonas Rondbjerg, Paul Cotter, Michael Amadio, and Jake Leschyshyn.

Vegas played Colorado tough on May 10th, 2021, but eventually conceded late to take their very first loss in franchise history as a home underdog.

Prior to that game, the Golden Knights had been home underdogs eight times and were undefeated in them.

The most recent win as a home dog was on February 20th, 2020 when the Golden Knights were +100 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Vegas won that one 5-3 in a thriller. Alec Martinez scored a goal and added an assist in his VGK debut, Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty both scored, and the Golden Knights put a halt to Tampa Bay’s 11-game win streak.

Before that one, the Golden Knights had gone 793 days between games as home underdogs. They were favored in 109 consecutive home games.

However, both the Tampa Bay game and the Colorado game, Vegas came in as the slightest of favorites, just +100. Tonight, they are +130 against Carolina.

This is the first time since October 24th, 2017 that the Golden Knights have been greater than +120 underdogs at T-Mobile Arena. That is 1,488 days ago and 149 games ago!

VGK were installed as underdogs in five of their first seven home games and then added a two more as the season progressed.

If you’ve have bet $100 on the Golden Knights every time they were underdogs, you’d be up a solid $865. But, had you rolled the bets over, going all in every time, you’d have made $27,117. If you then bet that the next time they were underdogs (against TBL on 2/20/20), you’d be up to $54,434.

Then, of course, you’d have lost it all when they lost to Colorado.

Nonetheless, tonight is quite the rarity with the Golden Knights not just underdogs, but fairly significant underdogs, the third largest they’ve ever been at T-Mobile Arena.

**William Hill is the official betting sponsor of SinBin.vegas.**

Which Golden Knights Have the Best Odds To Win Individual Awards In 2021-22?

By Ken Boehlke

On August 17, 2021

In Team Ops

Last year the Golden Knights got back atop the individual awards podium when Marc-Andre Fleury took home the Vezina Trophy. Before that Vegas had seen wins by William Karlsson (Lady Byng), Deryk Engelland (Messier), Gerard Gallant (Jack Adams), and George McPhee (GM of the Year) all in 2017-18.

With a stacked roster and the expectation of being a Cup contender once again, there’s a good chance a VGK player could win another individual award this year. Recently, William Hill listed all of their awards futures on the mobile sports app and all are available to bet right now. Here are the VGK candidates.

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

Norris Trophy (Best Defenseman)

Shea Theodore: +2500
Alex Pietrangelo: +2500
Alec Martinez: +6000

As the odds suggest, this truly is a toss-up between Theodore and Pietrangelo. While Shea had the much better regular season and finished 6th in the voting a year ago (and the year before), the postseason put in by Pietrangelo was the closest thing the Golden Knights have ever seen to a Norris-level performance. Martinez was stellar in the playoffs but his chances of being a true Norris finalist are probably long gone.

Season Point Total Projections Against The William Hill Spreads (Plus Division Odds And A VGK Prop)

By Ken Boehlke

On January 1, 2021

In Team Ops

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

New year. New season. New odds!

Hockey season is just two weeks away and our friends at William Hill have you covered with a few different options to bet on the Golden Knights and the NHL. They’ve listed season point totals for all 31 teams, plus division odds, Cup odds, and a special VGK prop for how many points the Golden Knights will amass in the month of January.

Let’s make some picks for the West Division.

Anaheim Ducks
O/U 57.5 Points

The Ducks are stocked full of young talent and have an incredible goaltender. Of all teams in the West Division, they are the one I see as the most volatile. I can see them putting up 65 points and challenging for a playoff spot, and I can also see them struggling for a long stretch and it burying their season. Last year they came up a bit short of a point per game, this year I think they can get there. Pick: OVER 57.5 Points

Arizona Coyotes
O/U 59.5 Points

There was a time last season when it looked like Arizona could win the division. They even made a mega trade to go get Taylor Hall. It kind of all fell apart after that but then the Pause hit, they were gifted a playoff spot, and made the most of it getting a series win. They did it in the most boring way physically possible though and now the most exciting player on that team is in Buffalo. In the end, they are the Coyotes and they always tend to find a way to underwhelm no matter what the expectations are. Pick: UNDER 59.5 Points

Colorado Avalanche
O/U 76.5 Points

SinBin.vegas Sponsors’ Black Friday/Cyber Monday Weekend Deals

By Ken Boehlke

On November 29, 2019

In Site Stuff

Here at SinBin.vegas we are proud to partner with local and national companies to extend special offers to readers, watchers, and listeners of our site. With the biggest shopping weekend of the year upon us, we wanted to take time to post an article displaying all the special deals being offered by our sponsors.

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Permanent – Use SINBIN20 or mention SinBin at checkout for 20% off

FANCHEST
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Black Friday – Use BOX2019 for 30% off a Golden Knights FANCHEST.
Coming Soon – We will be giving away a free FANCHEST to a lucky SinBin.vegas follower.

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Permanent: Win VGK tickets for every power play goal. Tweet #AdamKutnerPowerPlay right when the Golden Knights get a power play and if they score, you might win!

Crovetti Orthopeadics & Sports Medicine
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Launch Of SinBin.vegas/William Hill VGK Historical Odds Page

By Ken Boehlke

On September 23, 2019

In Stats

Not everyone is into sports betting, we understand that, but all sports fans all should know that betting lines give some of the most accurate information as to how a game is expected to play out. If a team is a massive underdog and wins, it’s a big deal, even if you weren’t there to bet and collect the money that comes with it.

That’s why we’ve put together the “History Of Vegas Golden Knights Odds” page that will forever live on SinBin.vegas and will be updated following each and every Golden Knights game.

The page includes odds from every regular season and playoff game in team history. It also shows betting trends such as how the Golden Knights perform “as home favorites” or “on the first game of a 3+ game homestand.”

Finally, the page shows how much money a $100 bettor would have made if he/she bet on every single Golden Knights game ever.

All odds are compiled using lines from the William Hill Race and Sports Book, official sponsor of SinBin.vegas.

All historical Golden Knights odds are compiled from William Hill Race and Sports Book closing lines. The William Hill Race and Sportsbook is an official sponsor of SinBin.vegas.

**A $100 bettor is defined for the purpose of this page as a player who bets $100 on every game in which the Golden Knights are an underdog, and whatever amount it takes to win $100 if the Golden Knights are a favorite. (Ex. If VGK is -340, the bettor bets $340. If VGK is +180, the bettor bets $100.) All values in parentheses are taking into account a $100 bettor betting all games in the category.**

Regular Season Trends

$100 bettor profit/loss
All Time: 94-70 ($310)
(18-19): 43-39 (-$1370)
(17-18): 51-31 ($1680)

at Home
All-Time: 53-29 ($120)
2018-19: 24-17 (-$815)
2017-18: 29-12 ($935)

on Road
All-Time: 41-41 ($190)
2018-19: 19-22 (-$555)
2017-18: 22-19 ($745)

as Home Favorite
All-Time: 43-27 (-$825)
2018-19: 23-15 (-$695)
2017-18: 20-12 (-$130)

as Home Underdog
All-Time: 7-0 ($865)
2018-19: 0-0 ($0)
2017-18: 7-0 ($865)

as Road Favorite
All-Time: 19-13 ($385)
2018-19: 14-10 ($260)
2017-18: 5-3 ($125)

See the rest of the page, including historical odds from every Golden Knights game here!

William Hill Props, SinBin.vegas Picks – 2019-20

By Ken Boehlke

On September 11, 2019

In Fans

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

We are just 21 days away from Opening Night at T-Mobile Arena. Which means, the William Hill mobile sports app is stocked with Golden Knights related bets and props.

Whether you gamble or not, prop bets always give us a rough idea of expectations heading into a new season. This year, William Hill has listed 11 prop bets including eight-player specific bets. Here are my picks on each and every one of them. (Last year I went 6-3.)

Regular Season Points
O/U 101.5

The Golden Knights had 109 in Year 1 and 93 in Year 2, this year’s total is smack dab in between the two. The biggest question of whether they’ll get there or not will be health. If the Golden Knights are relatively healthy through a majority of the season, they’ll reach 102 without any issue. But, if they lose one of the centers, Stone, Schmidt, or Fleury, they could see some rough stretches that keep them from the century mark. Think back to last season, the first 20 games, the poo stretch before the trade deadline, the way they limped to the end, a lot went wrong, and they still got to 93. I have to believe this year will be at least a bit smoother.

Pick: OVER 101.5

October Points
O/U 17.5

With the season starting on the 2nd, the October schedule is pretty packed. The Golden Knights play 14 games with eight of them being at home. It’s also a nicely laid out schedule with minimal travel and just one back-to-back. In fact, I listed the last two weeks of October as one of the softest stretches in the entire season schedule. The first two games are going to go a long way to determining whether or not they reach this number, but I don’t expect them to lose both which means they’ll need 16 points in 12 games. The opponents aren’t exactly easy as a whole, but the Golden Knights should come out motivated and that will lead them to a solid 18+ point month.

Betting On The Golden Knights; Bad Idea Unless You Know When To Do It

By Ken Boehlke

On March 8, 2019

In Fans

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

(All odds referenced in this article are pulled from the William Hill Sports Book. The William Hill mobile sports app is the best in the business with prop bets on every VGK game and InPlay betting on all NHL games.)

Whether you are a sports gambler or not, odds tell a great story about how a team performs under many different circumstances. They paint a picture of how a game is supposed to go and give some context about how well (or poorly) a team has played over the course of a season.

The Golden Knights have played 68 games to this point winning 37 and losing 31 as overtime/shootout losses are losses in gambling terms.

A $100 bettor (see end of article for explanation of how this works) would be down $360 if he bet on every Golden Knights game this season.

Vegas has been favored in 55 of the 68 games. That same bettor would be up $305 on the Golden Knights’ 35-20 record as favorites.

The Golden Knights are a dismal 3-10 as underdogs. Their three wins are all as minuscule dogs too, winning at Minnesota (+100), at Philadelphia (-105), and at Tampa Bay (+135). Bet all 13 and you’d be down $665. Vegas went on an eight-game losing streak as underdogs spanning almost 4 months from mid-October to early February (115 days).

However, despite a total road record of just 16-16-1 on the road the Golden Knights make bettors money when they are favored away from home. That’s happened 20 times this season and the Golden Knights are 13-7 earning a total of $345. The worst loss as a road favorite was just -155 at Los Angeles, while the Golden Knights have covered games as large as -185 (@ANA), -170 (@CHI), and -165 three times (@DET, @VAN, @OTT).

There is one other situation in which the Golden Knights pay off.

SinBin.vegas

Praise Be To Foley, Vegas Golden Knights Hockey Website

Tag: William Hill Page 1 of 2

2022-23 Player Props And Two Computer Model Season Point Projections

Early Betting Odds Show VGK Making Playoffs, Finishing 3rd In Pacific

Betting On The Golden Knights

Golden Knights Home Underdogs For Just The 10th Time Ever; Stats And Notes

Which Golden Knights Have the Best Odds To Win Individual Awards In 2021-22?

Season Point Total Projections Against The William Hill Spreads (Plus Division Odds And A VGK Prop)

SinBin.vegas Sponsors’ Black Friday/Cyber Monday Weekend Deals

Launch Of SinBin.vegas/William Hill VGK Historical Odds Page

Regular Season Trends

William Hill Props, SinBin.vegas Picks – 2019-20

Betting On The Golden Knights; Bad Idea Unless You Know When To Do It

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