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EDMONTON OILERS 4 VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS 3 (32-26-15, 79 PTS) – OT

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On March 26, 2026

In Game Recaps

Recap: The Golden Knights were trying to begin their homestand with a win over the incoming Edmonton Oilers. Edmonton struck first on an early game power play and took a 1-0 edge into the opening intermission. 

Vegas captain Mark Stone evened the score four minutes into the middle frame. Oilers’ captain Connor McDavid regained his team’s lead a few shifts later. Stone again tied the game with his 23rd tally of the season. However, Edmonton snapped the tie and took their third lead of the game. After 40, the visitors held a 3-2 advantage. 

Minutes into the final frame, Ivan Barbashev scored his 21st goal of the season to tie the game 3-3. Eventually the Oilers won the game in overtime.

The Golden Knights record drops to 32-26-15 falling to the Oilers 4-3 in OT. Next, Vegas will welcome the Washington Capitals for a matchup on Saturday night. Puck drop against the Capitals is scheduled for 730PM PT.(Recap by Jason)

Analysis: An extremely intense game between a pair of teams that have had all sorts of troubles avoiding giving up dangerous chances. Both teams had excellent looks, and oddly enough, each team converted a big one moments after the other team missed one. After 60, both teams we happy with their single point. VGK squandered a power play in OT and paid for it moments later. 15th loser point of the season. (Analysis by Ken)

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With Ten Games Left Pacific Division Crown Likely Out Of Reach For VGK

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On March 25, 2026

In Team Ops

(Credit: NHL.com)

On Sunday, Vegas defeated a heavyweight in Dallas, only to stumble two nights later in Winnipeg. To make it even worse, both Anaheim and Edmonton took care of their own business on the same night. After last night’s loss in Winnipeg, the Golden Knights are now on pace for a dozen fewer points than their franchise average of 102.4 in an 82-game season. Adding insult to injury, Vegas’ three-goal defeat dropped them into third in a tight Pacific Division.

While it’s mathematically still possible, it’s become highly unlikely the Golden Knights will overtake the Anaheim Ducks for the Pacific Division crown. With 10 games left, the Pacific Division is slipping away for Vegas. Most projection models have Anaheim as an 82% favorite to win the Pacific. The same models give Vegas only an 8% chance. Closing in on a six-point differential is an uphill climb, especially without games against the team they are chasing.

Pacific Division Winners Since COVID

  • 2021-22: CGY 111 (By 7 Points)
  • 2022-23: VGK 111 (By 2 Points)
  • 2023-24: VAN 109 (By 5 Points)
  • 2024-25: VGK 110 (By 5 Points)

In the NHL’s first 82-game season since the pandemic, the Calgary Flames won the Pacific Division by seven standings points in 2021-22. With 10 games left, Calgary held a nine-point advantage over Edmonton. The Oilers made a run but ultimately gained only two points on the Flames. The two teams didn’t face each other in the final 10 games which could’ve benefited the chasing Oilers. That same situation will play out for Vegas and Anaheim.

On their run to their Stanley Cup championship, the Golden Knights finished off the 2022-23 regular season on fire. Vegas won six games and picked up a point in nine out of the final 10. However, they ended just two points ahead of Edmonton for first place in the Pacific Division.

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As Pacific Division Slips, It’s Imperative VGK Locks In Second Seed

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On March 20, 2026

In Team Ops

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

Last night, the Golden Knights put themselves in a deeper hole in their pursuit of the top seed in the Pacific Division. Vegas went scoreless for their second straight game, both against playoff opponents. Dating back to March 14th’s 4-0 victory over the woeful Chicago Blackhawks, the Golden Knights have not scored in the last seven periods, 147 minutes and nine seconds. Unfortunately, it’s beginning to look like Vegas is more of a second or third seed rather than a divisional winner. Thankfully, one of VGK’s biggest rivals is trending in the same direction.

With Leon Draisaitl now out for the regular season, the Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers will need all the help they can get to qualify for the playoffs. Like Vegas, Edmonton’s regular season has been underwhelming, but both have an 80%, or better, chance of making the 2026 postseason. While the Oilers deal with a devastating injury loss the Golden Knights have a chance to avoid them or host them in April’s opening round.

Trusted projection sites have both the Golden Knights and Oilers ending up with around 91 to 93 points. The same sites have the Anaheim Ducks winning the Pacific, but only by 2 points. This welcomes the opportunity for Vegas to leapfrog both and finish the season as the top seed in the division. The Golden Knights would actually have to start winning some games to do so. Since the Olympic break, Vegas has the 30th worst points percentage with .364. Above only Seattle and Toronto.

(Credit: NHL.com)

The Pacific Division had an historically horrible evening on Thursday. VGK have been fortunate that their struggles have coincided with literally everyone else they are competing with for a playoff spot. Vegas has amassed just eight points since the Olympic Break, yet has not lost any ground on Seattle, lost just four points on the Kings and Sharks, and only five on Edmonton.

With Anaheim off last night, the Ducks watched as Edmonton and Vegas both failed to climb any closer. Anaheim has the edge in the all-important ‘games in hand’ statistic, and they face 10 non-playoff teams in their final 14 games, whereas Vegas will face seven.

So, maybe the division is slipping away for the Golden Knights, and they are more of a Pacific Division’s second or third seed, or even worse, falling to one of the two Wild Card spots. However, if Draisaitl fully recovers for the postseason, the Oilers will be a problem.

(Credit: HockeyStats.com)

Vegas can combat that by holding home ice and returning to their seven-game successful form back in January. They need to be looking up at the standings, now down, and that starts tomorrow in Nashville.

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From Contenders to Concern: VGK’s Slide Continues

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On March 9, 2026

In Team Ops

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

Last night’s 4-2 divisional loss to the Edmonton Oilers capped off a difficult two-game homestand for the Golden Knights. Vegas’ last month or so has been a challenge to say the least. Since their Olympic break return, the Golden Knights are 2-5-0, dropped out first place, and lost captain Mark Stone to injury.

https://twitter.com/SinBinVegas/status/2030879713783411136?s=20

VGK’s latest skid caught the eye of some of the league’s prognosticators. According to the experts, Vegas is in a downward trend.

(Credit: ESPN)

The last time ESPN released its power rankings, the Golden Knights were the 10th-highest-rated team. According to their latest release, Vegas is 12th. Still, the Golden Knights remain a contending Western Conference club, but in reality, they’re a second place team in a below-average division and slipping quickly.

Based on points and success, the West will run through the Central Division. All three, Colorado, Dallas, and Minnesota, are a combined +160 in goal differential this season. The Pacific Division is -157.

Top 16 Teams In NHL By Points

  1. Colorado Avalanche – 95 Points
  2. Dallas Stars – 88 Points
  3. Carolina Hurricanes – 86 Points
  4. Minnesota Wild – 85 Points
  5. Buffalo Sabres – 84 Points
  6. Tampa Bay Lightning – 82 Points
  7. Detroit Red Wings – 79 Points
  8. Montreal Canadiens – 78 Points
  9. Pittsburgh Penguins – 78 Points
  10. New York Islanders – 77 Points
  11. Boston Bruins – 76 Points
  12. Columbus Blue Jackets – 73 Points
  13. Anaheim Ducks – 73 Points
  14. Utah Mammoth – 72 Points
  15. Vegas Golden Knights – 72 Points
  16. Ottawa Senators – 71 Points

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EDMONTON OILERS 4 VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS 2 (29-21-14, 72 PTS)

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On March 8, 2026

In Game Recaps

Recap: The Golden Knights were hoping to get back on track with a victory at home against the Edmonton Oilers. Edmonton had several dangerous chances but Adin Hill made some key stops to keep the game scoreless.

Edmonton took the opening lead quickly into the middle frame. Ten minutes Vegas defenseman Noah Hanifin evened the score 10 minutes later.

Again the Oilers took the lead early into the 3rd period. Edmonton extended their lead to 3-1 with a late four-on-four goal. Vegas cut the lead to one with a shorthanded goal by Jack Eichel. With under two minutes, the Oilers regained their two goal lead with an empty net score.

The Golden Knights record drops to 29-21-14 falling to the Oilers 4-2 at T-Mobile Arena. Next, Vegas will travel to Dallas for a battle on Tuesday evening. Puck drop against the Stars at 5 PM. (Recap by Jason)

Analysis: The Golden Knights came in with a pretty clear plan in this game against Edmonton. That plan was to limit opportunities and force the Oilers to prove they can defend in their own end for long stretches. For the most part, VGK achieved the goal, yet it did not pay off because they fell into one of their old traps of being unwilling to go to the front of the goal and win loose pucks. Edmonton didn’t get a ton of chances, but they got enough. (Analysis by Ken)

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Despite Win Streak Prediction Models Have VGK’s Cup Chances At Season Low

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On January 14, 2026

In Team Ops

(Photo Credit: SinBin.vegas Photographer Brandon Andreasen)

On October 31st, MoneyPuck.com gave the Golden Knights a 93.4% chance to make the playoffs. Today, their projection model gives Vegas a nearly identical 93% chance. However, MoneyPuck’s playoff odds are currently showing Vegas with a season low 5.4% chance to win the Stanley Cup.

VGK’s MoneyPuck Cup % By Date

  • Preseason: 8.9%
  • October 19th: 9% (Points % = .833)
  • October 31st: 9.1% (Points % = .682)
  • November 30th: 7.6% (Points % = .600)
  • December 14th: 10.1% (Points % = .661)
  • December 28th: 8.7% (Points % = .625)
  • January 1st: 6.1% (Points % = .592)
  • January 13th: 5.4% (Points % = .614)

Since the new year, Vegas has earned nine of 12 points available and are riding a four-game win streak. According to coach Bruce Cassidy, his players second half mentality will be focusing game-by-game.

We need to check aggressively and continue to be urgent in those areas to get pucks back. The game will fall into place, so that will be our whole second half challenge now because we need to make up a few points. Players aren’t thinking about April, they’re just not… so we got to make sure we’re grounded and worried about the task at hand. -Bruce Cassidy

Similar models have Vegas close to MoneyPuck’s estimate. Hockey-Reference’s future projections share the same 4.7% chance for the Golden Knights to win their franchise’s second Stanley Cup championship.

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EDMONTON OILERS 4 VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS 3 (16-8-10, 42 PTS)

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On December 21, 2025

In Game Recaps

Recap: In the second of a two game road trip the Golden Knights headed north to frigid Edmonton. The Oilers came out flying scoring twice in the 1st period including a Connor McDavid wondergoal. The Golden Knights had three power play opportunities but couldn’t capitalize on any of them.

The Oilers continued the onslaught in the 2nd period scoring a couple more meaning Vegas found itself in a 4-goal hole for the second straight night. Tomas Hertl was able find the back of the net on the power play to cut the deficit to three. The 2nd period would end 4-1.

VGK came roaring back in the 3rd period starting with another power play goal, this time from Pavel Dorofeyev. Then, when Bruce Cassidy stuck Mitch Marner, Mark Stone, and Hertl together, they were all over the Oilers and Marner eventually stuck in Vegas’ 3rd goal. They looked dangerous all the way until the final horn but couldn’t find the equalizer.

The Golden Knights’ record drops to 16-8-10 falling to the Oilers 4-3 in Edmonton. Next up, the Golden Knights are coming home for the holidays. The first of a four game homestand against the Sharks on Tuesday. Puck drop is at 7 PM. (Recap by Ken)

Analysis: For the first half of the game it looked like the two-time defending Western Conference Champions were toying with a Golden Knights team missing two of its best players. EDM’s PP struck a few times, they were all over VGK at 5-on-5 and the Golden Knights appeared dead in the water. Then, the tide turned and the Golden Knights took over. Their execution turned up a ton and they got right back in it. They couldn’t find the game-tying goal but if the game lasted a few more minutes they probably would have, because they were buzzing. (Analysis by Ken)

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