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Tag: JFresh

2022-23 Player Props And Two Computer Model Season Point Projections

It’s prediction season again, and while the SinBin crew will be holding ours until the next podcast, we’re starting to see some trickle in from a few of our favorite sources.

We’ll start with our absolute favorite source for prognostication, William Hill!

There’s been a bit of a shift in the overall numbers since we first highlighted them a month ago. VGK are still picked to make the playoffs and finish 3rd in the division but their point total has dipped a full point to 95.5 and the “Make the Playoffs” prop is all the way down to -220 (it was almost -300 at open).

The props on the Golden Knights to win the division have dropped too, to +380, while Vegas stands as 20:1 underdogs to win the Cup.

There are a bunch of new individual player props on the board too. Here are a few.

Jack Eichel Goals Scored
Over/Under 36.5

Jonathan Marchessault Goals Scored
Over/Under 25.5

Mark Stone Goals Scored
Over/Under 20.5

Phil Kessel Goals Scored
Over/Under 18.5

Logan Thompson Wins
Over/Under 27.5

Finally, William Hill has listed a special monthly prop on October points for the Golden Knights. Vegas play 10 games with five at home and five on the road. The only repeat opponent is Winnipeg. William Hill has the line set at 10.5 with the under as the slight favorite.

Like it or not, the oddsmakers are not expecting the Golden Knights to come flying out of the gate.

Also, a pair of excellent computerized projection models have released their first look at this season’s predicted standings.

We’ll start with the more optimistic of the two.

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Interview: Jack From JFresh Hockey On Shea Theodore’s Puzzling Impact On The Golden Knights (In)Ability To Score

(Photo Credit: Playoff “Photographer” @BadSportsArt)

Before you go any further, read this article on Shea Theodore’s offensive impact on the Golden Knights. Once you are done with that, come back and listen to this interview.

The author of the article, Jack, and I dig into the stats, the systems, the theories, and the realities behind the Golden Knights struggles to score and how Theodore’s play effects it. We talk about sheltered minutes, DeBoer’s system, the VGK forward group, rebound chances, transition play, stick blade curvature and so much more.

All of this is in the hopes of answering Vegas’ million-dollar question, why aren’t expected goals turning into real goals?

**Be sure to check out Jack’s site, JFresh Hockey, subscribe to his newsletter, and follow him on Twitter.**

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