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Tag: Daniel Negreanu

Corsi? Fenwick? What Does It All Mean?

I swear every year pro sports leagues try and out duel each other when it comes to analytics. For the most part traditional stats work, but I understand the need to analyze more than just points scored or given up. Which leads me to the new Corsi stat. Created by an Edmonton blogger when he heard a league GM say on radio, there should be a stat to accurately track shot differential. The NHL adopted the statistic and it’s currently being tracked this season.

So what the hell is Corsi? Well, thanks to the good people at Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com this is it.

  • Corsi = Shots + Missed Shots + Blocked Shots

It’s fairly simple when you read the formula, it’s just the addition of all shots attempted, rather than the standard ‘Shots’ stat which disregards a large number of attempts. With a Corsi rating, teams can look at pucks shot at their net, versus shot at their opponent’s net. It’s a good barometer of how aggressive and efficient team offenses can be. Corsi can also help teams game plan defensively knowing your opponent’s average shot differential.

Avalanche Coach Patrick Roy said he didn’t like Corsi because it’s tracking all shots. Roy’s concern is Corsi tracks poor angle and red line shots. However, our favorite Brough, Pro Hockey Talk’s Jason Brough, pointed out, not many NHL teams are taking horrible shots to boost their Corsi rating. Sorry Patrick.

Next is Fenwick.

  • Fenwick = Shots + Missed Shots

Fenwick is just Corsi without blocked shots. I would think Corsi and Fenwick would be a good tool for organizations. If the coach is concerned with poor Fenwick rating, he may have the team shoot less and more efficiently. Or, start passing more.

Imagine if Corsi ratings were charted during the Gretzky-Oiler days or the Lemieux-Penguin days. The shot differential must’ve been ridiculous as is. Add in blocked and missed shots and their Corsi ratings would’ve been sky high. Although maybe skewed because they didn’t miss the net much.

All I know is that these stats are certainly the future, and if we are going to have success here in Vegas, we’ll have to have someone who can dive balls deep into analytics. We know a guybut he doesn’t seem to want to give us a straight answer.

All In On Ice

The name Sunny Mehta probably doesn’t ring a bell to even the most diehard hockey fans. However, his story is one that the new Las Vegas franchise should become very familiar with.

He’s the advanced statistics director for the New Jersey Devils. A job that’s long been thought to only have a place in baseball, but basketball, soccer, and now hockey are beginning to embrace the ideals of analytics as well.

What’s the most important thing about Mehta’s path to the league is his career in Las Vegas.

As a jazz guitarist and caught on as a musician in New Orleans in the early 2000s. He taught himself poker there and made money on the side playing at casinos. He has written two books on poker.

After Hurricane Katrina, Mehta left for Las Vegas to play poker full time. He lasted six months before heading back to New Orleans, and he spent the next five years playing poker. –Pat Pickens, NYTimes.com

A poker player. A genius in probabilities to head up a sports analytics department. Pretty pretty pretty pretty smart.

I’m not sure if you know this, but here in Las Vegas we have a lot of brilliant poker players.

Maybe The Creator and his team should take a page out of the Devils book (or maybe not) and look to the tables to improve the play on the ice.

Actually, come to think of it, I may just know the perfect guy to head up our Poker Players Analytics Division.

What’ya say Daniel?

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