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Mock Expansion Draft Database – Experts vs. CapFriendly Fans

The Expansion Draft can be an overwhelming to even the most diehard hockey fan. We get it, so this post is an attempt to simplify the Expansion Draft by showing the most probable players to be selected from each team.

The idea is based on the model used by the awesome movie review website, Rotten Tomatoes. We took a total of 29 “expert” mock drafts and averaged out each of their selection to come up with an “Expert Score.” We then partnered with CapFriendly.com to come up with a score that’s representative of the fans. CapFriendy.com has had more than 77,000 mock drafts submitted to their site, we averaged out each selection to create the “Fan Score.”

After the protection lists are released, we will go back and update these charts to show which players are indeed available to the Golden Knights during the Expansion Draft.

Note: Every selection made by the 29 experts is represented, and every player scoring higher than 2% from the fans is represented on the charts.

Anaheim Ducks

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Jakob Silfverberg (Protected)RW55.1755.93
Josh MansonD10.349.09
Cam Fowler (Protected)D10.344.44
Simon DespresD6.904.47
Sami VatanenD3.453.49
Andrew Cogliano (Protected)LW3.453.27
Antoine Vermette (Protected)C3.452.50
Nicolas KerdilesLW3.450.32
Jaycob MegnaD3.450.15

Arizona Coyotes

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Luke Schenn (Protected)D30.7732.39
Jamie McGinnLW23.0810.19
Teemu PulkkinenLW11.544.79
Kevin ConnautonD11.544.43
Mike Smith (Traded to CGY)G7.693.54
Louis DomingueG3.853.68
Josh JoorisC3.851.77
Brad RichardsonRW3.854.97
Alexander BurmistrovC0.003.18
Radim VrbataRW0.005.19
Peter HollandC0.002.39
Nick Cousins (Acquired from PHI) (Protected)C12.50 (PHI)6.60 (PHI)
Chad Johnson (Acquired from CGY) (Protected)G0.00 (CGY)2.07 (CGY)

Boston Bruins

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Malcolm SubbanG25.0022.54
Jimmy HayesRW25.0011.44
Adam McQuaidD17.8613.14
Kevan Miller (Protected)D10.719.18
Riley Nash (Protected)C7.148.96
Colin MillerD7.142.37
Matt BeleskeyLW3.577.91
Joe MorrowD3.572.79
Drew StaffordRW0.003.34

Buffalo Sabres 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Josh GorgesD17.246.85
Nicolas DeslauriersLW13.797.83
Tyler Ennis (Protected)C13.792.03
Matt MoulsonLW10.3413.32
Linus UllmarkG10.345.06
William CarrierLW6.908.93
Justin FalkD6.906.40
Dmitry KulikovD3.4513.03
Cody FransonD3.456.89
Zemgus Girgensons (Protected)C3.451.49
Johan Larsson (Protected)LW3.451.41
Marcus Foligno (Protected)LW3.451.13
Zach BogosianD3.450.92
Jake McCabeD0.005.79
Nathan Beaulieu (Acquired from MTL) (Protected)D0.00 (MTL)2.36 (CGY)

Calgary Flames

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Matt StajanC24.147.67
Micheal Ferland (Protected)LW20.698.39
Curtis Lazar (Protected)C13.794.20
Hunter ShinkarukC10.348.24
Lance BoumaC6.9012.84
Freddie HamiltonC6.900.67
Matt BartkowskiD3.453.74
Troy BrouwerRW3.452.25
Tyler WotherspoonD3.450.54
Tom McCollumG3.450.45
Michael StoneD0.006.67
TJ Brodie (Protected)D0.006.32
Kris VersteegLW0.005.24
Alex ChiassonRW0.004.09
Emile PoirierLW0.003.72
Dennis WidemanD0.003.67
Chad Johnson (Traded to ARI)G0.002.07
Mike Smith (Acquired from ARI) (Protected)G7.69 (ARI)3.54 (ARI)

Carolina Hurricanes 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Lee StempniakRW34.4817.02
Joakim NordstromLW13.7915.27
Justin Faulk (Protected)D13.7915.21
Eddie LackG13.799.82
Brock McGinn (Protected)LW10.343.77
Phillip Di Giuseppe (Protected)LW6.902.03
Klas DahlbeckD3.452.90
Andrej NestrasilC3.452.31
Cam WardG0.005.88
Scott Darling (Protected)G0.006.30

Chicago Blackhawks

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Trevor Van RiemsdykD65.5243.42
Marcus KrugerC17.2413.22
Ville PokkaD13.797.84
Brian CampbellD3.451.69
Tomas JurcoRW0.004.97
Ryan HartmanRW0.004.19
Richard Panik (Protected)RW0.003.03
Johnny OduyaD0.003.03

Colorado Avalanche

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Blake Comeau (Protected)LW16.675.14
Semyon Varlamov (Protected)G13.336.75
Sven Andrighetto (Protected)RW13.334.86
Carl SoderbergC10.0012.03
Patrick WierciochD10.003.29
Mikhail GrigorenkoC10.002.32
Joe ColborneC6.6710.62
Mark Barberio D6.674.21
Calvin PickardG3.3313.05
Nikita Zadorov (Protected)D3.336.19
Matt Nieto (Protected)LW3.334.88
Eric GelinasD3.333.52
Tyson Barrie (Protected)D0.004.56

Columbus Blue Jackets 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Joonas KorpisaloG34.4811.10
William KarlssonC27.5916.46
Jack Johnson D6.9028.53
David Savard (Protected)D6.901.98
Matt CalvertLW3.459.88
Sam GagnerC3.455.00
Josh AndersonRW3.453.06
Scott HarringtonD3.451.32
Lukas Sedlak C3.450.70

Dallas Stars

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Stephen Johns (Protected)D46.1510.40
Antoine Roussel (Protected)LW7.697.24
Cody EakinC7.697.13
Greg PaterynD7.693.48
Brett Ritchie (Protected)RW7.691.23
Jamie OleksiakD3.8511.69
Patrick SharpLW3.856.76
Curtis McKenzieLW3.854.35
Antti Niemi G3.852.69
Patrik NemethD3.852.14
Adam CracknellRW3.851.63
Ben Bishop (Protected)G0.0012.44
Valeri Nichushkin (Protected)RW0.007.97
Jiri Hudler LW0.003.58
Kari LehtonenG0.002.37

Detroit Red Wings 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Riley SheahanC56.0026.57
Darren HelmC16.0011.77
Jimmy Howard (Protected)G16.008.26
Luke GlendeningC4.005.86
Anthony Mantha (Protected)RW4.002.07
Jared CoreauG4.001.77
Xavier OuelletD0.005.19
Jonathan EricssonD0.004.55
Andreas Athanasiou (Protected)C0.002.30

Edmonton Oilers 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Mark Letestu (Protected)C37.0410.05
Benoit Pouliot LW22.2215.25
Griffin Reinhart D11.1115.65
Laurent Brossoit G11.114.17
Zack Kassian (Protected)RW7.411.39
Mark FayneD3.704.50
Patrick Maroon (Protected)LW3.702.22
Jujhar Khaira LW3.701.22
Kris RussellD0.008.50
David DesharnaisC0.004.33
Iiro Pakarinen RW0.003.01
Eric GrybaD0.002.01

Florida Panthers 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Alex Petrovic (Protected)D25.9313.35
Colton Sceviour C22.2212.61
James Reimer (Protected)G14.818.64
Mark Pysyk (Protected)D14.818.22
Jason DemersD7.4115.60
Thomas VanekLW3.708.47
Derek MacKenzieC3.703.54
Jonathan MarchessaultC3.701.91
Jaromir JagrRW0.004.42
Jakub KindlD0.002.26

Los Angeles Kings

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Brayden McNabbD48.2823.00
Dustin BrownRW10.3414.16
Derek Forbort (Protected)D6.907.42
Marian GaborikRW6.901.77
Jordan NolanC3.457.38
Nic DowdC3.453.06
Nick ShoreC3.452.32
Trevor LewisC3.451.63
Jeff ZatkoffG3.451.58
Tanner Pearson (Protected)LW3.450.72
Alec Martinez (Protected)D3.450.64
Michael MerschLW3.450.47
Matt GreeneD0.002.63
Teddy PurcellRW0.002.35
Kyle CliffordC0.002.02

Minnesota Wild

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Jonas Brodin (Protected)D48.2834.79
Jason Zucker (Protected)LW31.0317.02
Matt DumbaD10.345.80
Marco ScandellaD3.457.18
Chris StewartRW0.003.84
Eric StaalC0.003.50
Martin HanzalC0.003.40
Jared Spurgeon (Protected)D0.002.71
Erik HaulaC0.002.41
Gustav OlofssonD0.000.41

Montreal Canadiens 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Tomas PlekanecC20.0014.22
Jordie Benn (Protected)D20.0012.71
Brandon DavidsonD13.3314.77
Charles Hudon LW10.003.20
Al MontoyaG10.002.72
Jacob De La RoseLW6.676.99
Nikita Nesterov D6.673.97
Phillip Danault (Protected)C6.671.84
Alexei Emelin D3.3312.37
Alexander RadulovRW3.330.55
Torrey Mitchell C0.003.83
Paul Byron (Protected)C0.003.72
Dwight KingLW0.003.31
Nathan Beaulieu (Traded to BUF)D0.002.36

Nashville Predators

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Calle Jarnkrok (Protected)C46.4321.36
Ryan Ellis (Protected)D14.297.24
Craig SmithC10.719.38
Colin WilsonC7.1420.09
Colton SissonsC7.145.34
Matt IrwinD3.571.15
James NealLW3.571.11
Austin WatsonLW3.570.82
Pontus AbergLW3.570.88
Viktor Arvidsson (Protected)LW0.004.62
Pierre-Alexandre ParenteauRW0.003.18
Mattias Ekholm (Protected)D0.002.75
Mike FisherC0.002.15
Cody McLeodLW0.002.09

New Jersey Devils 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Devante Smith-PellyRW25.0019.92
Beau BennettRW21.4311.09
Ben LovejoyD21.4310.96
Jon MerrillD10.718.18
Mike CammalleriLW7.149.37
John MooreD7.141.82
Seth HelgesonD3.570.21
Dalton ProutD0.004.72
Jacob JosefsonC0.003.99
Scott WedgewoodG0.002.89
Mirco Mueller (Acquired from SJ) (Protected)D3.70 (SJ)6.96 (SJ)

New York Islanders 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Thomas HickeyD34.6215.38
Calvin De Haan D19.2319.18
Ryan Pulock (Protected)D15.389.61
Shane PrinceLW15.387.70
Josh BaileyLW7.691.30
Ryan StromeC3.852.03
Nick Leddy (Protected)D3.850.50
Cal ClutterbuckRW0.0010.00
Nikolai KuleminLW0.004.26
Jaroslav HalakG0.003.48
Dennis SeidenbergD0.002.60

New York Rangers 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Antti RaantaG25.9315.05
Kevin KleinD14.816.59
Oscar LindbergC14.813.31
Jesper FastRW11.113.20
Michael GrabnerRW7.4128.08
Nick Holden (Protected)D7.413.82
Taylor BeckRW7.410.00
Kevin Hayes (Protected)C3.7015.14
Rick Nash (Protected)LW3.701.29
Brandon PirriC0.004.30

Ottawa Senators 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Marc MethotD24.0017.26
Zack Smith (Protected)C16.007.80
Jyrki JokipakkaD16.005.85
Bobby RyanRW8.006.84
Cody CeciD8.002.38
Mark BorowieckiD4.005.89
Ryan Dzingel (Protected)C4.005.67
Alexandre BurrowsRW4.005.22
Chris WidemanD4.005.16
Fredrik ClaessonD4.001.62
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Protected)C4.001.62
Tommy WingelsRW0.004.71
Andrew HammondG0.003.79
Viktor StalbergLW0.003.70
Mark Stone (Protected)RW0.003.05
Clarke MacArthurLW0.002.48
Mike CondonG0.002.44

Philadelphia Flyers 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Michael Raffl LW41.6713.46
Matt Read RW16.6714.03
Dale WeiseRW12.5011.86
Nick Cousins (Traded to ARI)C12.506.60
Brandon Manning (Protected)D4.177.24
Michael Del ZottoD4.174.33
Michal NeuvirthG4.173.38
Scott Laughton (Protected)C4.172.16
Steve MasonG4.171.62
Brayden Schenn (Protected)C4.170.24
Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW0.005.27
Anthony Stolarz (Protected)G0.003.50
Andrew MacDonaldD0.002.65

Pittsburgh Penguins 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Marc-Andre FleuryG21.436.85
Ian ColeD17.867.73
Tom KuhnhacklRW14.295.42
Matt Murray (Protected)G10.7142.29
Brian Dumoulin (Protected)D10.713.77
Carl HagelinLW10.711.25
Derrick PouliotD7.145.40
Scott WilsonLW3.572.87
Olli Matta (Protected)D3.570.72

San Jose Sharks 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Jannik Hansen (Protected)RW18.5216.46
Brenden DillonD11.1116.07
Joel WardRW11.118.83
David SchlemkoD11.117.17
Paul MartinD11.114.77
Melker Karlsson (Protected)C11.111.90
Joe Thornton C7.410.61
Chris Tierney (Protected)C3.707.81
Mikkel BoedkerLW3.707.75
Mirco Mueller (Traded to NJD)D3.706.96
Dylan DeMeloD3.702.11
Aaron DellG3.701.62
Justin Braun (Protected)D0.002.35

St. Louis Blues

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Nail YakupovRW20.8325.53
Dmitrij JaskinRW16.6716.01
Robert BortuzzoD12.503.08
Patrik Berglund (Protected)C12.501.64
Carl GunnarssonD8.337.20
Ryan Reaves (Protected)RW8.334.19
Carter HuttonG8.331.54
Ty RattieRW4.172.86
David Perron LW4.172.35
Jordan BinningtonG4.170.39
Vladimir Sobotka (Protected)LW0.006.48
Joel Edmundson (Protected)D0.003.43
Kyle BrodziakC0.003.38
Magnus PaajarviLW0.002.69

Tampa Bay Lightning 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Vladislav Namestnikov (Protected)C44.4438.83
Alex Killorn (Protected)C18.5212.47
J.T. BrownRW11.114.45
Cedric PaquetteC7.415.34
Braydon Coburn (Protected)D3.704.27
Slater KoekkoekD3.702.37
Andrej SustrD3.700.68
Kristers GudlevskisG3.701.18
Peter BudajG3.701.59
Jason GarrisonD0.002.51

Toronto Maple Leafs 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Matt Martin (Protected)LW25.937.77
Martin MarincinD18.5216.19
Kerby RychelLW14.819.60
Eric FehrC11.116.29
Brendan LeipsicLW7.412.33
Tyler BozakC7.410.72
Alexey MarchenkoD3.709.09
Josh Leivo (Protected)LW3.703.72
Seth Griffith RW3.702.85
Connor Brown (Protected)RW3.700.86
Leo Komarov (Protected)C0.005.09
Brian BoyleC0.004.15
Roman PolakD0.002.93
Joffrey LupulLW0.002.64
Connor Carrick (Protected)D0.002.16

Vancouver Canucks 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Luca SbisaD39.1322.17
Markus Granlund (Protected)C13.049.45
Reid BoucherLW8.704.78
Richard BachmanG8.701.36
Erik Gudbranson (Protected)D8.701.31
Brendan GaunceC4.359.60
Derek DorsettRW4.357.28
Jayson MegnaC4.352.65
Sven Baertschi (Protected)LW4.351.93
Michael ChaputC4.351.21
Alex BiegaD0.004.81

Washington Capitals 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Philipp GrubauerG46.6715.70
Dmitry Orlov (Protected)D13.337.84
Lars Eller (Protected)C6.6718.56
Tom Wilson (Protected)RW6.672.36
Kevin ShattenkirkD3.337.72
Jay BeagleRW3.336.28
Karl AlznerD3.335.39
Brooks Orpik D3.334.35
Brett ConnollyRW3.333.97
Nate SchmidtD3.333.07
Nathan Walker LW3.330.23
Pheonix CopleyG3.330.28
Justin WilliamsRW0.002.11
Taylor ChorneyD0.002.05

Winnipeg Jets 

 Expert
Score
(%)
Fan
Score
(%)
Mathieu Perreault (Protected)C35.713.91
Adam Lowry (Protected)LW24.2917.31
Marko DanoC17.8612.70
Tyler Myers (Protected)D10.712.76
Joel Armia (Protected)RW3.5713.64
Shawn MatthiasC3.577.39
Michael HutchinsonG3.577.29
Mark StuartD3.574.96
Ondrej PavelecG3.571.39
Scott KosmachukRW3.570.36
Jacob TroubaD0.002.05

***

Expert Mock Draft Links

ESPN, Sportsnet, TSNUSA Today, Fox Sports, The Score, Dobber Prospects, Fantrax, OnTheForecheck, The Hockey Writers, Scouting Post, FanSided, Bleacher Report, Hockey Buzz, Wingin’ It Motown, Blueshirt Banter

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6 Comments

  1. todd little

    great stuff, Ken

  2. RJ

    Wow. This is some great work. Very impressive.

  3. shimmy fromowitz

    This is a great site. My Cap Friendly prediction doesn’t look too good.

  4. RYAN GREEN

    TERRIFIC TIME CONSUMING WORK DONE KEN. THANK YOU!

  5. 006

    If the trade winds don’t start picking up soon, that means McPhee is basically just stockpiling picks from teams in return for not touching key players. Boring? Extremely (for now, and for your team next season). Smart? Yes (for the long term). Tampa Bay was the first team we’ve seen make a trade to help out their Exposed list (not the only reason for the trade, but it helped with that).

    By the way, as a Devils fan, if you guys want Devante Smith Pelley, by all means.

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